The Golden State Warriors’ offseason strategy is starting to take shape, and it’s no surprise to fans who’ve been paying attention. First, it was Al Horford. Then, De’Anthony Melton. Now, a third name has emerged as a near-certain addition to the roster once Jonathan Kuminga’s future is locked in: veteran guard Gary Payton II. According to NBA insider Jake Fischer, Payton’s return to Golden State is all but guaranteed, marking another predictable move for a franchise leaning heavily on familiarity. But is this the right call for a team looking to climb back to the top of the Western Conference?
Payton’s impending signing feels like a homecoming for the Warriors. The fan-favorite guard, known for his tenacious defense and timely hustle plays, has been a beloved figure in the Bay Area since his first stint with the team. His return after a brief and lackluster detour with the Portland Trail Blazers in 2022-23 only solidified his place in the Warriors’ locker room. Acquired in a multi-team trade that sent James Wiseman to Detroit, Payton has been a steady presence, averaging 16.0, 15.5, and 15 minutes per game over the last three seasons.
The move to bring back Payton makes sense on paper. After losing Kevon Looney to the New Orleans Pelicans on a two-year, $16 million deal, the Warriors are clearly prioritizing continuity and chemistry. Payton, dubbed “the little big man” for his rim-rolling tenacity and ability to finish at the basket despite his 6’2” frame, brings a unique spark. His chemistry with Stephen Curry is undeniable, with well-timed cuts and ferocious energy that energize the second unit. As arguably the team’s best perimeter defender, Payton’s ability to lock down opposing guards remains a valuable asset.
But here’s the rub: just because Payton’s return feels inevitable doesn’t mean it’s the best move. While his defensive prowess is unquestioned, Payton’s offensive game comes with significant limitations. His 3-point shooting, despite a hot stretch post-All-Star break last season, is largely ignored by opposing defenses. For a Warriors team that already features non-shooting threats like Jonathan Kuminga and Draymond Green, adding another player who doesn’t stretch the floor could clog their offensive flow.
Payton’s skill set, while valuable, is also predictable. A capable ball-handler in transition, he offers little in terms of playmaking or individual shot creation. In a Western Conference stacked with elite teams, the Warriors need players who can elevate their ceiling, not just maintain the status quo. At 32 years old, Payton’s role is likely capped at 12-15 minutes per game—solid, but not game-changing.
With their final roster spots, the Warriors have an opportunity to take a calculated risk. Instead of banking on known quantities like Payton or Seth Curry, why not chase a player with higher upside? Malcolm Brogdon, for instance, is a name that stands out. The 2023 NBA Sixth Man of the Year brings playmaking, scoring, and versatility—qualities that could push Golden State closer to contention. Yes, Brogdon carries injury concerns, but his potential to log 20 impactful minutes per game makes him a more intriguing option than Payton’s safe but limited contributions.
The Warriors’ cautious approach is understandable, especially after a turbulent offseason. But settling for familiarity might not be enough to keep pace with the West’s heavyweights. Payton’s return may thrill fans who love his heart and hustle, but it also raises questions about whether Golden State is playing it too safe.
As the Warriors wait to finalize Kuminga’s future, their roster decisions will come into sharper focus. Payton’s signing may be a foregone conclusion, but it shouldn’t be. The front office still has time to explore other options, weighing the comfort of a known commodity against the potential of a bolder move. For now, fans can pencil Payton into Steve Kerr’s rotation—but they’ll be watching closely to see if the Warriors can surprise them with something bigger.